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Alshboul, O; Shehadeh, A; Saleh, E (2025) Advancing construction quality management: An integrated evidential reasoning and belief functions framework. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Altalhoni, A; Liu, H; Abudayyeh, O; Kwigizile, V; Huang, W C; Kirkpatrick, K (2025) Robust forecasting models for highway construction cost indices during pandemic-era inflation. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
- Type: Journal Article
- Keywords: forecast; high inflation; highway construction; highway construction cost index; machine learning; vector error correction model
- ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
- URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/JCEMD4.COENG-16622
- Abstract:
The highway construction cost index (HCCI) is a critical benchmark for managing highway construction project budgets. However, unpredictable economic and market changes, such as inflation due to the pandemic and supply chain disruptions, challenge accurate HCCI forecasts. In this context, an innovative index prediction approach is proposed, using advanced forecasting models such as vector error correction model (VECM), long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). Key economic indicators, such as crude oil prices, gross domestic product (GDP), unemployment rates, and so forth, are identified as the explanatory factors. Their data are collected for 2010-2023, including prepandemic stability, pandemic volatility, and postpandemic recovery. The data exhibit distinct differences during this period and are used to train and calibrate forecasting models. The prediction results reveal that VECM is the most effective model for short-term forecasting under volatile conditions and achieves the lowest average mean squared error (MSE) of 0.0205 in the walk-forward validation, compared with 0.05200 for LSTM and 0.1410 for seasonal ARIMA. By leveraging these comparative insights, the study advances the development of adaptive forecasting methods for HCCI and provides insight into the responses of VECM to economic disruptions, especially during the pandemic era.
Bhatia, A; Moselhi, O; Han, S (2025) Hybrid optimization approach for scheduling in panelized construction manufacturing. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Chau, A D; Hoang, H T; Nguyen, L D (2025) Web-based decision support system for automated pavement design and life-cycle cost analysis. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Chen, Z; Zhou, X; Zhang, Z; Yan, H; Niu, X; Li, Y (2025) Using the decomposed theory of planned behavior and a structural equation model with partial least squares to investigate construction and demolition waste reduction behavior. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Darko, A; Weerasinghe, L N K; Chan, A P C; Wu, L (2025) Partial least squares structural equation modeling of challenges to existing residential building net zero carbon retrofitting. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
He, H; He, Q; Chan, A P C; Feng, X; Dong, S (2025) Exploring the driving mechanisms of interorganizational knowledge sharing based on the Bayesian network analysis. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
He, P; Qin, L; Yuan, Y; Yuan, J (2025) Action reliability assessment framework for automated construction labor measurements: Case study on plastering operations. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Heravi, M Y; Jang, Y; Chauhan, H (2025) Comparative analysis of deep-learning approaches for automatic recognition of awkward postures in construction environments through wrist-worn biosensors. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Jiang, S; Wang, S; Sun, H; Liu, W; Xiao, B; Cha, H S; Zhang, J (2025) Enhancing quality management: Lightweight detection and risk warning of concrete cracks and rebar exposure using improved YOLOv8. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Ju, Q; Zheng, R; Liu, H; Shen, Z (2025) Exploring the effect of interface management on project success in complex capital projects: The moderating role of relational capital. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Li, J; Huang, W; Song, D; Zhou, L; Yang, B (2025) A constrained planning method: Considering storage space limitations and soft logic for cruise cabin assembly scheduling. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Lopez, J; Bhandari, S; Perry, L; Ayer, S K; Hallowell, M R; Jones, M (2025) Analyzing the impact of virtual reality and haptic feedback on the safety skills of construction workers. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Ma, B; Cai, Y; Zhang, H; Fan, Y; Wang, F; Wang, P; Lyu, Z; Zhao, Z (2025) Evaluating construction risks of ultralarge diameter bored pile in deep water using combination weighting with two-dimensional cloud optimization. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Ma, J; Zhao, Y; Zheng, D; Liao, X; Lu, J (2025) CSADnet: Attention-based semantic segmentation method for spraying scene images of building gables. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Ma, S; Li, Z; Shen, Y (2025) Decision-making framework for selecting sustainable prefabricated residential building technology schemes under minimum assembly rate constraints. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Ma, Z; Gu, J; Zhao, Q; Yang, M; Qian, C; He, M; Hei, X (2025) Intelligent optimization of blasting parameters in railroad tunnels based on blasting quality control. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Salhab, D; Pourrahimian, E; Lindhard, S M; Hamzeh, F (2025) Patterns, 4D simulations, and artificial intelligence-driven insights: Redefining construction workspace management. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Shao, B; Meng, J; Che, W (2025) Long-term energy usage prediction in public buildings using aggregated modal decomposition and gru. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Shiha, A; El-Adaway, I H (2025) Localized multivariate statistical assessment of United States construction labor shortages. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Wang, Z; Shen, Y; Li, K (2025) Resilience strengthening paths for precast production management in prefabricated construction. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Xiao, Q; Long, T; Huang, W; Liang, X; Klarin, A (2025) Unpacking the relationship between safety leadership and safety behaviors in the construction industry: Multistakeholder perspective. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Xu, Y; Chi, M; Lee, C Y; Chong, H Y; Wu, H (2025) Effects of the blockchain and artificial intelligence on value cocreation in construction projects: A mixed methods study. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Ying, W; Dai, X; Shen, W (2025) Rapid project delivery through bricolage and planning: A case study of the huoshenshan hospital project. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Zhang, C; Zhang, W; Shi, Y; Zhao, T; Zhang, Y (2025) Digital safety navigation for tower crane climbing process from a systematic perspective: Risk identification, safety information requirements, and related intelligent platform. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Zhang, Z; Guo, H; Li, H; Fang, Y (2025) Agent-based simulation approach to analyzing the impact of construction safety management behaviors on workers' safety behaviors. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Zhao, Z; Wang, X; Ji, Y; Liu, H; Liu, X; Yao, F (2025) Analysis of quality-influencing factors of adopting prefabricated steel structure housings: Based on the ISM-MICMAC model. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Zheng, Y; Debs, L; Besiktepe, D; Oh, H J (2025) Insights for key professional competencies of us entry-level construction positions: A structural topic modeling approach. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).
Zu, L; Liao, W (2025) Reinforcement learning-based multiobjective and multiconstraint production scheduling for precast concrete. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 151(8).